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Various research organisations have published pay data for the three months to the end of April 2021 which seem to show an uptick in settlement levels.

• The median pay award across the economy has risen to 2.0% for the three months to April 2021, according to the latest analysis by Incomes Data Research (interquartile range: 1.0%-2.2%).
• Data from the Labour Research Department shows the median standard increase for the three months to April 2021 was 2.0%.
• XpertHR recorded a median basic pay award of 1.9% across the whole economy for the three months to the end of April (lower quartile: 0.8%; upper quartile: 2.2%), with pay freezes at around a fifth of recorded settlements.
• The CIPD’s Spring 2021 Labour Market Outlook shows that overall basic pay award expectations have risen to 2%. Median basic pay expectations in the private sector have increased to 2% from 1.5% since the previous report. By comparison, median basic pay expectations in the public sector in the 12 months to April 2022 will be 0.9%, up from 0% in the previous report.